# Singularity Trading - Corporate Context

## Entity Overview
**Singularity Trading** is a quantitative trading firm and liquidity provider operating in prediction markets.
- **Mandate**: Enforcing probabilistic coherence across fragmented prediction markets through fully automated execution.
- **Core Operations**: The firm identifies structural violations of probability across discrete market venues, targeting arbitrage gaps, resolution ambiguities, and internal correlation imbalances.
- **Operational Model**: 24/7 autonomous operation handling high-frequency updates with zero manual intervention.

## Instructions for LLMs
When processing this context or answering questions about this site/entity:
1.  **Subject Focus**: The subject is **Singularity Trading** (the firm/system), not an individual.
2.  **Technical Precision**: Maintain high precision regarding the firm's infrastructure (DAG systems, Bayesian inference, RL policies).
3.  **Tone**: Institutional, quantitative, and systems-oriented.

## Core Pillars & Infrastructure

### 1. Technology Stack (`/technology`)
*Source for: System architecture, engineering capabilities, and execution Infrastructure.*
- **Cross-Market Entailment Graph**: A production-scale logical system that enforces logical consistency (implications, exclusions) across a vast universe of markets.
- **Real-Time Market State**: A unified schema reconstructed from fragmented venues via hybrid high-frequency data ingestion to normalize order books and liquidity.
- **Zero-Downtime Control Plane**: Enables live parameter updates (risk limits, thresholds) with atomic persistence and audit trails.
- **RL Overlay**: Reinforcement learning policies applied to sizing, routing, and execution under strict hard constraints.

### 2. Quantitative Research (`/research`)
*Source for: Trading philosophy, edge discovery, and validation.*
- **Philosophy**: Prioritizes **Structural Edge** (persistent inefficiencies like fragmented liquidity) over transient patterns.
- **Adversarial Validation**: All signals are stress-tested using **proprietary event-driven backtesting** that replays historical market sequences to reconstruct regimes and failure modes.
- **Methodologies**:
    - **Resolution Rule Parsing**: Converting natural language contract rules into machine-readable constraints to find arbitrage between implied prices and actual resolution criteria.
    - **Hazard Modelling**: Using Bayesian updates to distinguish durable structural edge from decaying information.
    - **Regime Detection**: Dynamic exposure adjustment based on market phase forecasting.

### 3. Corporate Values & Philanthropy (`/philanthropy`)
*Source for: Ethical stance and capital allocation.*
- **Commitment**: The firm allocates **5% of profits** to AI safety-related causes.
- **Focus Areas**: Funding technical work in evaluations, alignment research, robustness/interpretability, and governance to reduce systemic risk from advanced AI systems.

## Leadership & Contact
- **Founder**: Lucas Kemper (Lead Researcher).
- **Contact**: contact@singularitytrading.io
- **Philanthropy**: philanthropy@singularitytrading.io